Climate outlooks
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The Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (GPF) for the Southeast for the next seven days shows below normal rainfall for most of the area, with the exception of peninsular Florida. With lower humidity and abundant sunshine, this might be a good time to make some hay (maybe literally) with your outdoor activities. The next three days should…
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NOAA issued an update to their forecast for tropical storm activity this past week. The new forecast shows a 70 percent chance of below normal activity this year, a 20 percent chance of near normal, and only a 5 percent chance of an above normal season. Part of this forecast reflects the very quiet conditions…
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This map of satellite-based temperature anomalies from July 27 to August 3 shows the strong temperature gradients that have occurred across North America due to the large ridge of high pressure on the west coast of the US and the deep trough of low pressure in the east. Areas in blue are unusually cold and…
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The pool of unusually warm water in the eastern Pacific Ocean that was observed earlier this summer has now mostly dissipated without a response from the tropical atmosphere, leaving climatologists wondering if El Nino will occur this winter as predicted earlier. In the strongest El Ninos, the atmospheric signature of El Nino is starting to…
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This week starts with below normal rainfall in most of the Southeast. Rainfall should be less than 0.75 inches over the next five days across most of the Southeast except near the coast. Showers will be scattered but could be heavy if you happen to get caught in one. Rain chances increase later in the…
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The National Drought Monitor brought a small area of D1 drought (in tan on the map below) back to Georgia this week after Alma reported its driest July ever. They received just 0.41 inches for the entire month, much lower than the previous record of 0.77 inches set in 2006. Their records go back to…
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Tropical Storm Bertha has formed in the Atlantic Ocean and is headed to the northwest, following a typical path for Atlantic hurricanes. However, because of the trough of low pressure across the eastern part of the country, the storm is expected to veer away from land and recurve to the north and east before it…
Posted in: Climate outlooks