Climate outlooks
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After the next couple of days of scattered thunderstorms, drier than normal conditions are likely to return to the Southeast. Forecasts for the next two weeks show that although some rain may be expected, amounts are generally going to be below average conditions. That, coupled with warm and humid temperatures in the 90s, could lead…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
There are signs that the “crazy” weather pattern we have been in this summer (cool and pleasant) is about to change. Dan Satterfield posts some commentary in Dan’s Wild Wild Science Journal at the American Geophysical Union blog site here. In the next two weeks we may shift from the current cool conditions to weather…
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The Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (GPF) for the Southeast for the next seven days shows below normal rainfall for most of the area, with the exception of peninsular Florida. With lower humidity and abundant sunshine, this might be a good time to make some hay (maybe literally) with your outdoor activities. The next three days should…
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NOAA issued an update to their forecast for tropical storm activity this past week. The new forecast shows a 70 percent chance of below normal activity this year, a 20 percent chance of near normal, and only a 5 percent chance of an above normal season. Part of this forecast reflects the very quiet conditions…
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This map of satellite-based temperature anomalies from July 27 to August 3 shows the strong temperature gradients that have occurred across North America due to the large ridge of high pressure on the west coast of the US and the deep trough of low pressure in the east. Areas in blue are unusually cold and…
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The pool of unusually warm water in the eastern Pacific Ocean that was observed earlier this summer has now mostly dissipated without a response from the tropical atmosphere, leaving climatologists wondering if El Nino will occur this winter as predicted earlier. In the strongest El Ninos, the atmospheric signature of El Nino is starting to…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
This week starts with below normal rainfall in most of the Southeast. Rainfall should be less than 0.75 inches over the next five days across most of the Southeast except near the coast. Showers will be scattered but could be heavy if you happen to get caught in one. Rain chances increase later in the…