Climate outlooks
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows the potential for heavy rain this week due to the possible movement of Tropical Storm Erika (or its remains) into the region by mid-week. Areas where Erika has already passed have seen intense rainfall, flooding and mudslides that have caused some deaths in Dominica as well as the Dominican…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Tropical Storm Erika is poorly organized this morning, and meteorologists are not even sure where the center of circulation is. But some of the models show it making a bee-line for Florida and the Southeast coast. On the latest public forecast map, Erika could be affecting south Florida by Sunday. Some of the models show…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast for the Southeast shows another wet week for the peninsula of Florida, with a chance of showers every day next week. Other areas of the Southeast can also expect to experience scattered showers, although away from the coast there should be some dry days next Monday through Thursday. The big…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest Drought Monitor, issued this morning, shows an area of severe drought has developed in east-central Georgia in Screven, Jenkins, and Bulloch Counties. This area is an extension of the severe drought which has been present in the Carolinas for the last few weeks. The drought expansion is due to the continuation of warm…
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This morning NOAA published their latest outlooks for the upcoming fall and winter climate. Maps are shown below. You can also get them at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1. The outlook for September shows that Florida and southern Georgia and Alabama have the best chance of above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation, while other areas don’t have a strong…
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It’s just past halfway through August. So far for the month, most of the Southeast is running about a degree above normal, although there are areas with below normal temperatures. Precipitation is highest in Florida followed by Georgia and then Alabama. The Carolinas are the driest part of the Southeast and that is where drought has…
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The latest 7 day QPF map shows wet conditions across all of the Southeast, which should help to remove some of the dry conditions that have spread across the region in recent weeks. Saturday will be the driest day for most of the region, with rain forecast to occur almost every day after that across…
Posted in: Climate outlooks