Climate outlooks
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September 10 marks the middle of the Atlantic tropical season, as seen in the graph below. Today we are up to storm H for “Henri”, which is headed northeast and poses no threat to the US. There are currently three “X’s” in the Atlantic, with one at 50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone…
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The latest 7 day QPF indicates that rains of about an inch should be common across the Southeast this coming week. The heaviest rain should be in southern Florida, with close to two inches. Lower amounts are expected in the drought-stricken area of central North and South Carolinas.
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
David Zierden, the Florida State Climatologist, recently posted an update on El Nino on the SIFT blog. You can read it at https://www.siftag.org/super-el-nino-poised-to-disrupt-weather-patterns/. Climate Central also published a video comparison of the 1997 and 2015 El Nino sea surface temperatures here.
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Here is a recent article I wrote for Georgia Organics. You can also read it at https://georgiaorganics.org/2015/08/what-does-the-godzilla-el-nino-mean-for-georgia-farmers/. There’s been a lot of hype in the popular news this month about the prospects for a very strong El Nino, which is developing in the eastern Pacific Ocean and is expected to peak this winter. El Nino…
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As expected, the remains of Tropical Storm Erika are moving to the north on the west side of the Florida peninsula. The latest radar shows the blob of moisture entering the southwest portion of the state. This area of enhanced moisture is expected to continue north and should affect southeast Georgia and South Carolina by…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows the potential for heavy rain this week due to the possible movement of Tropical Storm Erika (or its remains) into the region by mid-week. Areas where Erika has already passed have seen intense rainfall, flooding and mudslides that have caused some deaths in Dominica as well as the Dominican…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Tropical Storm Erika is poorly organized this morning, and meteorologists are not even sure where the center of circulation is. But some of the models show it making a bee-line for Florida and the Southeast coast. On the latest public forecast map, Erika could be affecting south Florida by Sunday. Some of the models show…