Climate outlooks
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The latest monthly climate outlook from the Climate Prediction Center indicates that most of the Southeast has equal chances of near, above or below normal temperatures for the next 30 days. The next few days should show significant cooling as a strong cold front moves through the region on Thursday May 4, bringing significantly cooler…
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The 7-day QPF map shows that parts of the Southeast are expected to get several more inches of rain this week as a weather system stalls to our west. Mountainous areas and most of Alabama will receive the most rain. The driest area this week will be the Florida peninsula, which will struggle to receive…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that heavy rains of up to several inches are forecast for the next three days across Virginia, North Carolina, and parts of South Carolina and the Georgia mountains. These rains could cause flooding in some locations, so be careful if you are driving through those areas. After this storm…
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The Climate Prediction Center released their latest seasonal outlooks this week. They show a continuation of the trend towards above normal temperatures. Precipitation forecasts this year don’t have much skill with no La Niña or El Niño present and CPC puts “equal chances” of above, near and below normal conditions for the Southeast. You can…
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The latest 3-month climate predictions from the Climate Prediction Center are in and show that for almost every 3-month period for the next year there is an increased chance of above normal temperatures for the Southeast. Precipitation forecasts are much harder and don’t show any significant leanings one way or the other except in a…
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While some rain is forecast for the Southeast in the next week, amounts will generally be light, particularly in the Florida peninsula where drought has been expanding in recent weeks. In Georgia and Alabama the heaviest amounts are expected in the northern counties of those states, which will help reduce drought conditions there.
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NOAA’s latest update on the forecast for El Niño indicates that there are still mixed signals about the likelihood of an El Niño developing later this year. One observation in favor of the development is the current strong warming right off the coast of Peru and Ecuador, which is causing problems with tremendous flooding in…