Climate outlooks

  • The State Climate Office of North Carolina has issued their guidance on what to expect this weather in NC. They provide a discussion of the current La Niña forecast and some other climate variables that may play a role as well as a list of several analog years similar to this year’s conditions. While the…

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  • We’re almost halfway through November, and a quick look at the climate maps shows that almost all of the Southeast is above normal in temperature so far, and most of it is much drier than usual. The only parts that are cooler than normal are in Virginia and central North Carolina.  Two areas centered near…

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  • Not much rain this week

    It looks like a fairly dry week for most of the Southeast this week, with a bit of rain coming Sunday into Monday but not much else except right along the East Coast. Not too surprising for fall, which is normally the driest season.

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  • The National Weather Service has posted their latest YouTube video showing the weekly weather briefing from November 2. This is a regular video production and very useful if you want a look ahead to the next seven days of weather. You can view it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TYswZO9uEQ8&feature=em-subs_digest.

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  • Light rain this week

    The latest 7 day QPF map shows that we will get light amounts of rain this week. For most of the region, that means less than 0.75 inches.  After a mostly dry weekend, rain amounts should be heaviest Tuesday through Thursday but again, total accumulations will be light for most folks. Heaviest amounts will be…

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  • The latest climate outlooks for November and for the November through January period show a classic La Niña signal across the Southeast, with warmer than normal temperatures across the region but most likely along the southern coast, and drier than normal conditions also expected as the subtropical jet moves north into the Ohio River Valley.…

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  • While the 2017 tropical season in the Atlantic is not yet over, it is ramping down and (we hope) will not bring much more action to the Southeast. But it is interesting to look at how the developing La Niña conditions might affect next year’s season.  Usually La Niña lasts for a few months and…

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