• Just when you think the tropical season is done, we get one last hiccup. The National Hurricane Center posted a 5-day outlook that includes a potential area of development in the central Atlantic with a 50 percent chance of becoming a named storm. This would likely be a subtropical storm, not a true tropical storm,…

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  • Aarohi Sheth of Currently newsletter reported that “The world’s insurance bill from extreme weather events and climate disasters this year is $115 billion — 42 percent higher than the 10-year average of $81 billion, according to Swiss Re, a Zurich-based reinsurance giant.“ The story also noted that the firm estimates that Hurricane Ian, the Category 4…

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  • This week’s 7-day QPF map shows that most of the rain this week should be focused on a band stretching from Arkansas through northern Alabama and Georgia and into the Southern Appalachians. Coastal areas and Florida should be largely left out. Rain is expected in that area throughout the week. Areas to the south of…

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  • The latest monthly outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows a pattern of temperature and precipitation that is what you might expect from a La Nina winter, with warmer and drier conditions expected in the southern part of the region and less signal farther north, where things vary a lot more from one La Nina…

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  • As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…

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  • December 1st is the first day of meteorological or climatological winter (I guess depending on whether you are a meteorologist or a climatologist). You might wonder why it does not correspond with the astronomical season of winter, which is related to earth-sun geometry and starts this year on December 21. Here is a good article…

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  • The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows that most states in the region experienced a slight increase in drought conditions over the last week. Rainfall in the next week will be mostly confined to northern parts of the region, so drought is likely to expand in southern Alabama and Georgia as well as Florida in…

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