• Note: I am posting this announcement at the request of the Institute of Disaster Management at the University of Georgia. They are hoping to host some engaging public conversations to learn how people experience and interpret emergency alerts, and gather feedback to improve them. What do you wish alerts told you during an emergency? The…

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  • The lack of significant precipitation in the past week has led to increases in drought conditions almost everywhere in the region. Small improvements occurred in parts of Virginia, but most states experienced an expansion of drought and abnormally dry conditions. Dry conditions also expanded in Puerto Rico. The worst-hit areas of the region are in…

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  • Even though it is not quite the end of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, the tropics are very quiet right now and no additional storms are expected. Tropical expert Brian McNoldy recently wrote a detailed description of this year’s hurricane season that you might find interesting. You can read it at https://bmcnoldy.blogspot.com/2025/11/summary-of-unusual-2025-hurricane-season.html. In the summary,…

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  • The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks for winter 2025-2026 were released today. They show the continued classical pattern for a weak La Nina, not surprising since we are in that now and it is expected to last for the next few months. Unfortunately, the dry conditions in southern Al and GA as well as the…

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  • The North Carolina State Climate Office released their winter outlook this week. You can find it at the link below. Even if you don’t live in NC, the discussion of the winter overall will be of interest.

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  • NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center posted an infographic earlier this week describing what they think will be a significant pattern shift late in November through mid-December. The current pattern is showing warm air in the eastern US and colder air in the western US, but after the shift occurs the coldest air will shift to the…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that little rain will fall again this week, and nearly all of what does fall will not occur until next weekend. The high pressure that will be over us for most of the week will keep any rain-producing weather away and will bring warmer than usual temperatures to the…

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