Tropical weather

  • Tropical Storm Debby was officially named this afternoon once tropical-storm force winds were detected by surface instrumentation. It is a wide storm that is not very organized at this point, so development will be limited until it pulls together more. The path of TS Debby is being consistently forecast by most computer models to make…

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  • Over the course of the day Investigation 97L became Potential Tropical Cyclone 4 and is now Tropical Depression 4, indicating that it has an identifiable center of low pressure. The center is now just off the south coast of Cuba, and since it is over warm water instead of land it has a better chance…

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  • As expected, the disorganized mass of thunderstorms that recently developed in the Atlantic is becoming more organized and has been designated as Investigation 97L (likely to be called Debby once it forms). It has a 40% chance of becoming a named storm in the next two days and a 70% chance in the next week.…

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  • The National Hurricane Center is continuing to watch a pair of tropical waves moving west across the Atlantic for potential development later this week. The waves are expected to interact in an area of low Saharan dust and could form a named storm in early August as the season starts to ramp up. Since there…

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  • The National Hurricane Center is showing an area with a 40% chance of development in the western Atlantic in a position that could mean potential trouble for us in the Southeast. Fortunately, this is quite a ways off, and many of the model solutions currently showing the storm as turning to the north before it…

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  • You might remember that Hurricane Beryl made landfall in Texas on July 8, bringing heavy rain, strong wind and damaging tornadoes to a wide swatch of the central US and into the Midwest and New England. One of the hardest hit places was Texas, not a surprise because it was the first place the storm…

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  • Over the course of the day, Hurricane Beryl went from a tropical storm to a major hurricane and then to a Category 4 storm with sustained winds of 130 mph and an impressive eye. It is expected to maintain this strength for a few days before weakening as it hits some wind shear in the…

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