Tropical weather

  • As of 11 pm on August 4, Debby was declared a hurricane with winds of 75 miles per hour. As expected, it has been getting stronger all day so this is no surprise, and further strengthening is likely before it makes landfall sometime on Monday along Florida’s Big Bend area. After it makes landfall it…

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  • Most of my meteorologist friends and I have been watching the progression of Tropical Storm Debby today as it moved north over warmer water and developed a more robust central circulation. The winds grew stronger and the central pressure dropped. Impacts such as storm surge and heavy rains have been occurring on the western side…

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  • Tropical Storm Debby was officially named this afternoon once tropical-storm force winds were detected by surface instrumentation. It is a wide storm that is not very organized at this point, so development will be limited until it pulls together more. The path of TS Debby is being consistently forecast by most computer models to make…

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  • Over the course of the day Investigation 97L became Potential Tropical Cyclone 4 and is now Tropical Depression 4, indicating that it has an identifiable center of low pressure. The center is now just off the south coast of Cuba, and since it is over warm water instead of land it has a better chance…

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  • As expected, the disorganized mass of thunderstorms that recently developed in the Atlantic is becoming more organized and has been designated as Investigation 97L (likely to be called Debby once it forms). It has a 40% chance of becoming a named storm in the next two days and a 70% chance in the next week.…

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  • The National Hurricane Center is continuing to watch a pair of tropical waves moving west across the Atlantic for potential development later this week. The waves are expected to interact in an area of low Saharan dust and could form a named storm in early August as the season starts to ramp up. Since there…

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  • The National Hurricane Center is showing an area with a 40% chance of development in the western Atlantic in a position that could mean potential trouble for us in the Southeast. Fortunately, this is quite a ways off, and many of the model solutions currently showing the storm as turning to the north before it…

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