Tropical weather
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As of 11 pm on Friday night, Tropical Storm Earl formed in the western Atlantic Ocean. The current forecast is for Earl to curve to the north and then northeast without hitting any land. It is not expected to become a hurricane but to remain a tropical storm. Folks along the East Coast might want…
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Today Hurricane Danielle formed in the central Atlantic, far from land over a patch of unusually warm water much farther north than most hurricanes form. This is the first hurricane named in 2022 but probably will not be the last. Danielle is not a threat to land, although remnants of Danielle might eventually bring some…
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Over the weekend, the tropics have started to wake up after a long spell with no tropical activity. As of Sunday night, there are four areas identified on the Atlantic Ocean map that have a chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next five days. The area in the center of the main…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
You may see the National Hurricane Center daily maps showing the likely areas of development for tropical storms and wonder how long it takes the storm to get close enough to the Southeast to worry about. This excellent map from Ed Piotrowski shows the average number of days it takes for a storm to get…
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While the Atlantic tropics have been very quiet for the last two months, we are finally starting to see the possibility of some development of the waves that are now coming off of Africa. There are two areas of potential development in the Atlantic today, and while the potential of development in the next five…
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It’s been a remarkably quiet July and August this year, with no named tropical storms since the three that occurred early in the season. In fact, it’s one of the quietest tropical periods in the Atlantic basin since records began. But the models are starting to show a change in the pattern as the Saharan…
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Those of you who are older might remember the terrible storm that hit Miami (and later, Louisiana) 30 years ago this week, Hurricane Andrew. There have been a lot of interesting retrospective stories in the news about it. Here is a NOAA story with several links to interviews with National Hurricane Center forecasters and others…