Tropical weather
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In the Southeast, we know that El Nino and La Nina greatly affect our climate conditions, especially in the winter months when farmers are preparing for the next growing season. One of the important questions about the changing climate is whether or not the frequency and intensity of El Nino and La Nina (collectively called…
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The National Hurricane Center recently announced some changes to the way that they represent the forecast cone for approaching tropical storms and hurricanes. They will now provide more information for inland areas instead of just focusing on the coastal impacts. This experimental product will be provided in addition to the official forecast cone on the…
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Even though the Atlantic basin had an active season this year, we had very little impact in the Southeast other than Hurricanes Idalia and Ophelia. The lack of tropical rain was a benefit to Vidalia onion growers who are growing their seedbeds for next year. Since the seedbeds are under irrigation, they don’t want additional…
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In the past, El Nino years have often brought fairly quiet Atlantic hurricane seasons due to the presence of strong winds high up in the atmosphere that keep tropical waves from developing into tropical storms and hurricanes. This year, in spite of El Nino, the season has been quite active, although most of the storms…
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With just a few days left in the official 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, the tropics are still holding out hope for another named storm. A frontal boundary is expected to stall over the central Atlantic, and since the water there is so warm, a non-tropical low could briefly transition into a tropical storm within the…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The Atlantic tropical season officially ends on November 30. While it’s been pretty quiet lately, there is one area that the National Hurricane Center is flagging for likely development in the next week. Fortunately, it looks like it will not affect the Southeast except perhaps for Puerto Rico and possibly some rain in Florida (although…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
While we are almost to November, the tropics still have a couple of areas of potential development over the next seven days. An area east of the Bahamas shows a 40% chance of development in the next two days, but it has gotten less likely over the past day and only has a short window…
Posted in: Tropical weather