Tropical weather

  • The latest 7-day Atlantic outlook shows Tropical Storm Jerry in the Atlantic Ocean. It is currently headed towards the northwest but is expected to curve soon and should stay far from the East Coast, although there could be some impacts from high surf there. Another area of 10% chance is currently showing in the northern…

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  • A recent study led by scientists at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reveals how a major global climate pattern influences the African weather systems that help seed Atlantic hurricanes. This study was initiated as an undergraduate project by a student who…

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  • The National Hurricane Center’s latest map shows an area with a 60% chance of development in the next seven days. This is based on a wave that has just come off of Africa, probably one of the last ones we will see this season. Late in the season in the Atlantic basin, most storms develop…

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  • The latest 7-day tropical outlook shows two areas of potential interest. The first is an area over the Florida Peninsula which has just a 10 percent chance of developing in the next week. This area is mostly expected to bring rain to the East Coast of Florida with lesser amounts on the West Coat and…

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  • It’s been an exciting day for the tropics. At 2 pm today Tropical Depression 9 became Tropical Storm Imelda as expected when the wind speed increased to tropical storm force. It is still headed north parallel to the Florida coast and is expected to continue to move in that direction for the next day. At…

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  • Over the course of the day today, the messy tropical blob of convection that is expected to become Tropical Storm and perhaps Hurricane Imelda went from being Investigation 94 to a Potential Tropical Cyclone to Tropical Depression 9 earlier today. That indicates the hurricane hunters found an area with a closed low pressure that indicated…

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  • At 5 pm EDT today, Investigation 94 officially became Potential Tropical Cyclone 9, indicating that we are getting close enough to a named storm for the National Hurricane Center to start issuing advisories, a forecast cone, and the expected wind field for the storm. It is organizing north of Hispanola and Cuba now and should…

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