Tropical weather
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One question I get asked every hurricane season is where we expect the storms to move this year. It’s not an easy question to answer because it depends on both large-scale weather patterns like the position of the Bermuda high and short-term weather systems like the current jet stream and frontal pattern, since those help…
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The North Carolina State Climate Office recently offered a webinar that provided an outlook for the 2024 hurricane season. They also posted a lot of the information in their latest blog post along with a link to the webinar recording. While some of their information is NC-specific, a lot is generally true for the Southeast…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
NOAA released their seasonal forecast for the Atlantic tropical season today. As expected, it shows that a very active season is expected, with 17 to 25 named storms expected and 8-13 hurricanes likely. This matches the forecast by Colorado State issued a few weeks ago. You can read the NOAA press release at https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season. Hurricane…
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As hurricane season approaches, many of you may be wondering how tropical storms and hurricanes form and what factors are important in determining when and where they develop as well as how they move. Here are a couple of articles that give good descriptions of how hurricanes form listed below. I have also included a…
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NOAA is hosting their annual Hurricane Preparedness Week this week. If you are in danger of being affected by a tropical storm or hurricane this year (that includes all of the Southeast plus many areas beyond it from South Texas to Halifax, Nova Scotia), you need to prepare now for the coming season, because it…
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Recent hurricanes like Michael and Idalia have caused tremendous hardship to timber producers, who lost not only their trees but in some cases also their processing plants, leaving them with limited markets even if they have trees to sell. Planting new trees won’t help older farmers since they typically take about 25 years before they…
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Today the National Hurricane Center posted a 5-day map of the Atlantic showing a center of possible activity in the central Atlantic with a 10% chance of development. Do I think it will develop into a tropical storm? No, but it is interesting and perhaps concerning that we are already seeing signs of activity so…