El Nino and La Nina
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As I pointed out in one of yesterday’s posts, this year is a very active one for tornadoes, and Georgia is leading the pack of all the states in the number that have been experienced so far. Two questions might come to mind–does this mean we will set a new record in the number of…
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Do any of you remember that old advertisement for women’s hair color which said “Does she or doesn’t she? Only her hairdresser knows for sure”? Well, at the moment it’s similar to our question about whether or not El Niño will reappear in the next few months. NOAA’s latest prediction has shown just a slight…
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“Will he or won’t he?” A question I’ve been getting a lot lately is whether or not we are headed into our next El Niño. Fortunately for us in the Southeast, if we have either an El Niño or the opposite La Niña, statistically we have some idea of what climate conditions to expect during…
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NOAA’s latest update on the forecast for El Niño indicates that there are still mixed signals about the likelihood of an El Niño developing later this year. One observation in favor of the development is the current strong warming right off the coast of Peru and Ecuador, which is causing problems with tremendous flooding in…
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One of the signs that an El Niño may be brewing in the eastern Pacific Ocean is a burst of unusually warm water near the coast that is contributing to heavy flooding in Peru. According to Yahoo News, at least 62 people have died and more than 70,000 have become homeless as Peru’s rainy season…
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Jonathan Belles of the WunderBlog posted a new article this week about the increasing potential for El Niño to return by late summer. While it is by no means a sure thing, the probabilities for a return to El Niño are increasing, and are higher than the probabilities for neutral conditions by the July-September period.…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center announced today that La Niña is now officially over. This is just as expected based on the predictions of a weak event from late last year. The sea surface temperature map below shows that while the central Pacific is still colder than normal, the eastern Pacific is now above normal in…