Climate outlooks

  • The latest forecast for the North Atlantic Ocean was released today by the U. K. Met Office. It says that they expect a total number of named storms of 13, just slightly above the long-term average of 12 storms.  NOAA will be releasing its own forecast soon, and I don’t expect it to be much…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map for this week shows that the entire Southeast will receive at most only minor amounts of rain. The high pressure that is sitting over our region is effectively shutting down most of the rain that would bring relief to the region, and is leading to temperatures that are much higher…

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  • The National Weather Service’s Southeast River Forecast Center has produced a new Water Outlook for the Southeast. You can view the video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lcA1nNe_RoM&feature=youtu.be.

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  • Producers are all busy working in their fields, planting, spraying, and irrigating. Some folks are making hay or working on small grains as well. Here is a look ahead at the weather and climate for the next few weeks. The major feature of the weather across the Southeast for the next month is a strong…

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  • This weekend most of the Southeast will see rain, and some of it could be substantial where thunderstorms occur. After that, the rain will mostly be confined to south Florida and Virginia. The rain could help to alleviate dry conditions in the areas that have been suffering from dry soils, and I hope farmers will…

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  • NOAA’s latest El Niño update shows that El Niño is still present in the eastern Pacific Ocean, although its strength has waned somewhat. The latest set of prediction graphs from IRI show that it is expected to continue for most of the next year, with only a few models suggesting a swing to La Niña.…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map for the US shows that most of the rain that is expected to fall in the Southeast this week will fall before Tuesday morning as a strong system moves through the area. There is some potential for severe weather on Saturday. After the weekend, the focus of rain activity shifts…

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