Climate outlooks
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November 2019 was 1-3 degrees F colder than normal, a stark contrast to the very warm October. Most areas of the state were drier than normal, but some coastal areas received heavy rain in mid-November, resulting in wetter than normal conditions there. In spite of the dry conditions across most of the state, drought coverage…
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After today’s front passes through the Southeast, only light rain is expected for most of the region over the next week. The heaviest rain amounts are expected mid- to late week in the Mississippi Valley area and stretching east into Alabama. Even those will only be about an inch, though.
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The best forecast clue for what winter is likely to be like in the Southeast and other parts of the US is whether El Niño or La Niña is present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. This year we have neutral conditions, which makes a winter prediction tougher. But NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center still issued a…
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Rain this weekend will cause problems for those going to football games and other outdoor activities this weekend, but dry conditions should return to most of the region by Monday. Alabama and the mountains may see some additional rain later in the week as the next weather system approaches the area. The driest areas will…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest monthly and seasonal outlooks for December 2019 and beyond earlier this week. They show a continuation of the trend towards warmer than normal temperatures both for December and for the December through February period. That does not mean that we won’t see cold outbreaks during the winter, just…
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The latest ENSO update from NOAA shows that there is no El Niño or La Niña occurring in the Eastern Pacific Ocean at present. Temperatures there are fairly close to the 1981-2010 average. Neutral conditions are likely to continue for the next few months, so short-term climate variations will come from other variations like the…
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This week looks mostly dry for the majority of the Southeast. No rain at all is expected for large parts of the region for the first five days, with a chance of showers on Thursday and Friday as the next weather system moves into the region from the northwest. While this lull is going on,…
Posted in: Climate outlooks