Climate outlooks
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As of 11 pm Tuesday night, Hurricane Sally is creeping north towards the east side of Mobile Bay in Alabama. It is expected to make landfall over the next few hours, but timing is tough when it is only moving at 2 mph. The slow movement is piling up water to the east of the…
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Rains of over 15 inches could occur in southern Alabama as slow-moving Hurricane Sally moves onshore, most likely early Wednesday near the MS-AL border. A wide band of rainfall of 6-10 inches is currently predicted to stretch north through central Alabama and on into northern Georgia, the South Carolina highlands, and parts of western North…
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Last Friday it was not even a named storm. Today Sally is a tropical storm which is expected to become a hurricane on Monday and make landfall as a category 2 hurricane near New Orleans sometime on Tuesday morning. It is a slow mover, which means that it will pile up a lot of storm…
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Tropical Depression 19 is crossing over the southern tip of Florida this morning and is expected to continue in a WNW direction out into the Gulf of Mexico for the next several days. It should eventually become a tropical storm, most likely named Sally, and is currently expected to make landfall somewhere between Pensacola FL…
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Add another tropical depression to the long list of storms in the Atlantic this year. TD 19 is expected to move across southern Florida in the next 24 hours and then move NW across the Gulf while strengthening to a tropical storm (most likely named Sally) before making landfall as a minimal TS mid-week somewhere…
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As expected, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has issued a La Nina Advisory this week to note that a La Nina has officially been observed to occur. You can find their text advisory at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf. There is a 75 percent chance that it will continue through Northern Hemisphere winter. In the Southeast, a La Nina is…
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Tonight’s 5-day tropical outlook shows several areas of potential tropical activity. There are two weak areas of low pressure in the western Atlantic which have a small chance of developing. Both of them are probably only going to bring some rain to parts of the Southeast rather than other impacts, but should still be watched.…