Climate outlooks

  • We’ve been in a rainy pattern for the last couple of weeks, as discussed in a different post today. Since the rain has been very convective in nature with a lot of heavy downpours and thunderstorms and some strong winds in places, the rainfall has been very hit or miss. Some places have received a…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that everywhere in the region should get some rain this week. However, northern South Carolina and central North Carolina are likely to see the least, with expected amounts of less than half an inch. Other areas could see quite a bit more, and this will help to further reduce…

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  • The updated outlook for June 2025 was released late last week. It shows that across the region, temperatures are expected to be warmer than average and precipitation is expected to be wetter than average. This should reduce the drought in remaining areas of the region and in particular, in the Florida peninsula.

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region should receive less than half an inch of rain this week except for the southern half of the Florida Peninsula, which should receive much more. That should put a dent in the drought there, which has been growing for the last few weeks. In…

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  • The cooler weather that we have been experiencing across the Southeast for the last couple of weeks is likely to end as we enter June on Sunday. Rain is likely to continue to be plentiful in most of the region, so a major expansion of drought is unlikely, although areas that are in drought now…

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  • Hope you are all having a good Memorial Day weekend! I am up in Michigan visiting my mom this weekend but will be on the road tomorrow. Not much rain in the forecast here, but we expect more in the Southeast. A line of storms worked its way through overnight and is still working its…

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  • Earlier this week NOAA released their latest seasonal outlook for June through August 2025. It shows that both June and the June through August period are leaning toward a forecast of warmer than normal conditions. This is not a surprise because with the upward trend in temperature we have been seeing in the Southeast since…

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