Climate outlooks
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(UPDATE: New map as of 10:30 pm) I’ve been getting a few questions about how quiet the tropics are right now and whether we are done with the tropical season for this year. Here is the answer from Bryan Norcross, a television meteorologist from Miami with many years of experience in tropical weather. I follow…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that after the showers in the eastern parts of the Southeast move out today, we should have a mostly dry week for nearly all of the region. The exception is eastern North and South Carolina, under the influence of a weak disturbance that could briefly become a subtropical storm…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
After a very beautiful and dry week, the rain is coming back to the region with a vengeance this week, as frontal rain and a cutoff low bring multiple days of rainto the region. Some areas in northern Georgia could see several inches of rain before the system finally starts moving out to the east…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest monthly climate outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction was released earlier this week. It shows that all of the Southeast except the southern tip of Florida has an enhanced chance of warmer than normal conditions for October. Rainfall is listed as equal chances of wetter, drier, and normal conditions, which means there is no…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
A “cut-off” low is an area of low pressure in the atmosphere separated or cut off from the main atmospheric circulation. That means it does not feel the steering effects of the westerly winds and sits and spins in one spot for several days until something comes to push it out. We get cut-off lows…
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With just a few days to go in the end of the month, the maps show that most of the region has received more rain than normal. The wet areas are also cooler than normal, most likely due to the cloud cover and difficulty heating all that water. This last week of dry conditions will…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 5-day Atlantic forecast notes two new areas of likely development over the next five days. These two waves are at lower latitudes than Hurricane Sam, which means they are more likely to reach the Southeast than other waves that develop at higher latitudes. But there is a long way to cross over the…