Climate outlooks
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Over the course of the last day, Tropical Depression 9 formed in the Atlantic Ocean north of South America and Tropical Depression 10 formed off the west coast of Africa. TD10 subsequently became Tropical Storm Hermine over the course of the day. It poses no threat to us in the Southeast. TD9 struggled a bit…
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While the early part of this year’s Atlantic tropical season was very quiet, lately things have gotten a lot more active. Fortunately, the recent storms so far have kept well away from the Southeast as a strong high pressure center has diverted the storms away from us. This may be about to change with a…
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High pressure and completely dry conditions are expected to continue for most of the Southeast in the next week. The exceptions are coastal areas and the Florida peninsula, although the heaviest rain will remain off the coast. The streak of heavy rain you see in the map in the Atlantic marks the path of TS…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest seasonal climate outlook today for October through December 2022. The maps show that they expect October to be warmer and drier than normal across most of the country. There is less certainty in the Southeast because we are still in the Atlantic tropical season and if we get…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that it should be a rainy weekend for most of the region, dumping showers on many football games and other outdoor activities. By Monday night a cold front is expected to move through the region, bringing cool and dry conditions to most of the region with the exception of…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest ENSO outlook today. It shows that there is a 91% chance that the current La Nina will last through fall, and a 54% chance that it will last through March 2023. Typically, a La Nina winter in the Southeast means an increased likelihood of warmer than normal temperatures…
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Most of the Southeast experienced conditions in August that were wetter and warmer than usual, although as usual there were variations across the region. Some areas are still feeling the impacts of too much rain, while others have experienced dry conditions that have reduced yields in their crops. The humid conditions and lack of sunshine…
Posted in: Climate outlooks