Climate outlooks
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While the Atlantic tropics have been very quiet for the last two months, we are finally starting to see the possibility of some development of the waves that are now coming off of Africa. There are two areas of potential development in the Atlantic today, and while the potential of development in the next five…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas of the Southeast should get at least an inch of rain this week. Southwest Alabama could see some extra rain from the remains of Potential Tropical Cyclone 4, which is in the western Gulf of Mexico and is expected to move into southern Texas or northeastern…
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NOAA released the latest monthly climate outlooks for September and the September through November period yesterday. They show that warmer than normal temperatures continue to be expected in the next month and season for the U. S. as a whole, although most of the Southeast has equal chances of below, near, and above normal in…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas within the region should receive some rain this week. In most cases, they are predicting 0.5 to 1.5 inches. Slightly heavier amounts in eastern North Carolina and along the coast with the possible spin-up of a low along the old stationary front that could enhance the…
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The latest El Nino discussion was released today. It shows that there is a strong likelihood that La Nina will continue through 2022, with a return to neutral conditions likely by spring. You can read more at their summary page. That means that even though the tropics are quiet now, we expect them to ramp…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas of the Southeast should see decent rains this week, mostly in the form of scattered thunderstorms. The wettest area is likely to be the Florida Panhandle and Gulf Coast of Alabama, with wet conditions also off the East Coast of North Carolina. The driest areas are…
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Earlier this week NOAA came out with their revised forecast for the number of tropical storms and hurricanes expected in the Atlantic Ocean this season. Even though it has been relatively quiet, that is expected to change in the next couple of week and NOAA is still expecting an above average number of named storms.…