Climate outlooks
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The latest ENSO update, released late last week, shows that while La Nina is still present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, a transition to neutral conditions is likely in early 2023, with equal chances for La Nina and neutral conditions by January through March and a 73% chance of neutral conditions by February through April.…
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The short-term outlook for weather conditions is for more rain to move through a lot of the Southeast, although southern Florida will not see much. The rain could come in a couple of waves, with the heaviest rain occurring in mid-week. After that, cooler and drier weather will move into the region as the pattern…
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Earlier this month, Weather Underground offered a good look at the two previous times that La Nina occurred three years in a row and how it affected climate. As their analysis shows, temperature was less similar than precipitation, so if this holds, you are more likely to see a dry winter than a warm one.…
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This week’s 7-day QPF map shows that most of the rain this week should be focused on a band stretching from Arkansas through northern Alabama and Georgia and into the Southern Appalachians. Coastal areas and Florida should be largely left out. Rain is expected in that area throughout the week. Areas to the south of…
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The latest monthly outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows a pattern of temperature and precipitation that is what you might expect from a La Nina winter, with warmer and drier conditions expected in the southern part of the region and less signal farther north, where things vary a lot more from one La Nina…
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As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…
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The low pressure area that is developing in Texas has a big rain shield ahead of it. That should move into the Southeast later this weekend, bringing rain to a lot of the region other than the Florida peninsula and the Southeast coast. That should help keep drought from expanding in next week’s Drought Monitor…
Posted in: Climate outlooks