Climate outlooks
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The tropics are becoming more active, and the National Hurricane Center is watching three tropical waves in the Atlantic now, with a fourth one coming off the coast of Africa in the next few days. Tropical Depression Fiona is still around in the Atlantic far from land but is expected to degrade into a remnant low in…
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The latest QPF shows that conditions across the Southeast should be drier in the next seven days as a cold front moves through the area and shuts down some of the daily afternoon convection that has brought rain to the area. We will still see a chance of scattered showers for most days in the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest outlook from the Climate Prediction Center show that for both September and for fall (September through November), warmer and drier than normal conditions are likely to continue in most of the Southeast. This could be good or bad news for farmers, since continued warm and dry conditions may make it difficult to grow…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7 day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast should get a moderate amount of rain over the next week. Most areas are projected to get about one to one and a half inches. Keep in mind that this is only a forecast. Last week’s forecast was woefully incorrect, as the slowly…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA released their updated Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2016 yesterday. NOAA calls for a higher likelihood of a near-normal or above-normal season, and decreases the chance of a below-normal season to only 15 percent, from the initial outlook issued in May. You can read it at https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/atlantic-hurricane-season-still-expected-to-be-strongest-since-2012.
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My lasat weekly Saturday blog post said this would be a wetter week, and that some areas would get a ton of rain. So far, those predictions have not really materialized. Several people have asked me and other meteorologists, Why not? It’s worth looking at the weather to see where the forecast has fallen short.…
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For those of you who have been watching the increasing drought in the Southeast with dismay, this may be the week you were looking for. A change in the pattern has brought a slow-moving low pressure system to the Southeast Gulf coast, and it looks like it will stick around for most of the week.…