Climate outlooks
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Rainy conditions in a band focused on the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama and southern Georgia are the big rainfall feature for the next week. After the rain moves on, dry conditions will largely cover the Southeast. South Florida will be largely missed by the rains from this storm system.
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows a moderate amount of rain across most of the Southeast. It is raining right now outside my window in Athens, and this rain is likely to continue on and off for a few days. Dry conditions are likely across the region from Wednesday night to Friday night, and then…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows only light rain occurring across the Southeast in the next week. The first five days should be dry, with light rain returning to the region on Thanksgiving Day into Black Friday. Amounts are expected to be light, though, so travel should be be significantly affected.
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The latest set of outlook maps from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center came out this week. They show that only the southern half of the Florida peninsula shows any temperature tendency, and that is towards warmer than normal temperatures. The rest of the region has equal chances of above, near or below normal temperature. This is…
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While an El Niño has not yet been officially declared, the telltale water temperatures and wind patterns that are associated with an El Niño are all in place and I expect an official move from an El Niño Watch to an Advisory in the near future. The forecasts for this winter are less certain than…
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The latest 7 day QPF map shows that after a cool and dry weekend, rain will return to most of the Southeast by Monday evening as a Gulf low forms near Louisiana and races to the northeast, bringing up to several inches of rain over parts of the region by Wednesday. The only part of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
If you follow this blog, you know we’ve been expecting the onset of an El Niño sometime this fall. So far, it hasn’t quite happened. This article from NOAA gives an update on the current status of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and how likely the El Niño is. You can read it at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/november-2018-enso-update-just-little-bit-history-repeating.…