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A strong and quick-moving cold front will be moving through the region Sunday night through Monday night, bringing the chance of severe weather ahead of the front and along the line of storms. There is some indication in the models that severe weather could occur well out ahead of the front in places like NE…
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The 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region will see only moderate amounts of rain, and looking at the daily breakdown shows that almost all of it will fall by Monday, with dry conditions for the rest of the week as the really cold air moves in. There’s a separate post about the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -

Since we are halfway through the month, I thought we should take a look at the monthly statistics so far. For most of the region, the temperatures have been above normal. With the cold blast coming through early in the week, these will drop somewhat, but since it will start to warm up again after…
Posted in: Climate summaries -

A new study that was recently published in the journal Nature shows that scientists studying sea-level rise have been using methods that underestimate how high the water already is. One result is that hundreds of millions more people worldwide are already living dangerously close to the rising ocean than Western scientists had previously estimated, according…
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The Climate Prediction Center issued their monthly update on the ENSO today. The report indicates that while La Nina is still present, it is just barely holding on and is expected to end in the next month, leading to the return of neutral conditions. CPC is predicting a fairly quick swing to El Nino conditions…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -

Since we are likely to be switching from the weak La Nina we are currently in to neutral and then El Nino by later this summer, Climate.gov thought it was a good idea to remind us all that La Nina and El Nino have different impacts on spring tornadoes and hailstorms as well as on…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows only a few small changes in the map compared to last week, with slight increases in drought area overall. There were a few small areas of improvement in Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Virginia. There was no change in the Puerto Rico map, with less than one percent of…
Posted in: Drought