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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center posted their latest seasonal outlook today. The pattern it shows for the next month and three month periods are very consistent with what we expect from a weak La Nina. This is not a surprise because that is our current ENSO state. Most of the Southeast is expected to be warmer…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows that drought conditions were reduced in a broad area of southern AL and GA and in northern Florida due to recent rains. However, higher elevation areas away from the coast, including northern AL and GA and western SC and NC as well as a lot of Tennessee saw…
Posted in: Drought -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain in the next week should be relatively light. Most of it will fall in the period from Thursday morning in northwestern Alabama and then progressing through the region Thursday night into Saturday morning before the weekend dries out. After that front moves through, temperatures will rebound to…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
A new report on the fall flash drought of 2023 in the Southeast is now available from Drought.gov. You can read more about the development of the drought as well as its impacts on agriculture, forestry, and other industries at https://www.drought.gov/news/facing-future-droughts-lessons-southeasts-2023-fall-flash-drought-2025-12-12. There is a link to the full report on that page as well. The…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that drought conditions improved by one category over large portions of northern Florida as well as southern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. The area of exceptional (D4) drought in SWGA was removed, and drought conditions also improved in southeast North Carolina as well as northern Virginia. However, drought…
Posted in: Drought -
During the last ten months, the National Weather Service saw significant decreases in staffing due to early retirements and layoffs associated with the downsizing of NOAA. The loss of experienced staff was especially concerning because of the worry about an active Atlantic hurricane season. Weather data was also lost as so many staff left that…
Posted in: Climate and Ag in the news -
The latest ENSO discussion from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center was issued today. It shows that the current weak La Nina is expected to continue for the next couple of months with a transition back to neutral conditions likely in the January-March period. By midsummer it is possible that we will swing the other way into…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina