This week NOAA declared that the weak El Niño of 2019 is now officially over based on objective measurements in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. We are now considered to be in neutral conditions. NOAA expects this to continue for the next few months, with lower chances of El Niño recurring and even lower chances that it will switch to a La Niña. While neutral conditions do not have a strong effect on growing season climate, they are more likely to lead to an uptick in the number of tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean, which could increase rain at areas along the paths of those storms. This is especially true this year, when the El Niño signal was already very weak. Neutral conditions, if they last until spring, also are more likely to lead more variable winter weather and to later spring frosts, which can cause problems for fruit farmers. However, since that is a long ways down the road, it’s not anything to worry about at this point (at least more than you usually do).
You can read the NOAA report on the current ENSO status at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml. You can read the IRI report at https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/.
