Recent observations of the eastern Pacific Ocean show that the expected El Nino has not developed as predicted and that even though the ocean temperatures are showing warming, the atmosphere has not followed suit, leading to mediocre El Nino signals.  This makes it more likely that if El Nino develops (as is still expected), it will be weak.  In weak El Nino years, most of the effect of El Nino is seen in south Alabama and Georgia and south into Florida, and the effects are not seen farther to the north.  For an article on the evolving situation from Mashable, click here.