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According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, we have a 100 percent chance of a La Nina through winter, and a better than 90 percent chance through early spring. After that, the probability drops but stays above 50 percent through the March-May period before we go into the typical low probability in summer 2021. This is…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
If you are ever asked about your area’s climate risk due to changes in climate for later in this century, particularly around the 2040’s, you will find this new paper published by Springer in Natural Hazards to be very useful (it’s open access so you don’t have to pay to read it). The paper discusses…
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Unless you live in Florida, you are not likely to much if any rain this week. There is a small chance on Sunday as a weak cold front moves through the area, but by Tuesday a big high pressure dome will park over us, leading to nothing but blue skies and sunshine. Cooler air could…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest global climate summary for October 2020 is now available from NOAA. It shows that for the earth as a whole, it was the 4th warmest October since records began in 1880. Only 2015, 2019 and 2018 were warmer. You can view the graphics and read the highlights at https://www.noaa.gov/news/remarkably-warm-october-fuels-march-toward-2nd-hottest-year and the full report…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The passage of TS Eta across the Southeast brought a lot of rain to an already near-record-setting region. The North Carolina Climate Office produced a rapid response report on the impacts of Eta on their state. The rain of Eta, when combined with a passing cold front, brought 2 or more inches across most of…
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If you have been following this blog for a while, you know that extreme weather such as high winds can contribute to the lodging of corn, where the stalks fall or are blown over, making harvest difficult. We saw that this summer in the Corn Belt with the devastating derecho that occurred there, but it…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that there have been very slight increases in the area covered by abnormally dry (D0) conditions in Georgia and South Carolina this week. With the rain from TS Eta falling yesterday and today, I expect that will decrease in next week’s map.
Posted in: Drought