-
The latest 7-day QPF forecast this week shows that nearly all of the region will be dry this week. The exception is Florida, which is expected to be affected by soon-to-be Hurricane Milton early and mid-week as it is likely to make landfall somewhere along the west coast. Like Helene, there is expected to be…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest monthly climate outlook for October 2024 shows a large area of warmer and drier than normal conditions covering much of the continental US in the next month. This is likely to lead to the expansion of drought in those areas. The Southeast is on the edge of the warmer than normal conditions in…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day tropical outlook shows Hurricane Kirk as a major hurricane out in the central Atlantic and Tropical Storm Leslie, which formed today and is also expected to reach major status in a few days. Kirk is expected to turn north and then northeast in quick order and could threaten Europe in a few…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
This week’s Drought Monitor showed that the incredible rain from Hurricane Helene completely wiped out drought in areas along its path. In some cases, there was a 3-category change in drought conditions, from extreme drought to none at all, because of the torrential rain. This is the first time I can remember seeing such a…
Posted in: Drought -
The latest 7-day tropical outlook shows that the area of potential development in the western Caribbean has decreased from 50% to 40% chance of occurring in the next seven days. Most models show that any development is going to be very slow to pull together as the area of convection enters the Gulf of Mexico.…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
I can’t begin to list all the stories about Hurricane Helene that I have seen in the media for the past few days, but here are a few that are of special interest because they address agriculture and safety. New York Times: How Helene Wrought So Much Havoc, So Far From the Coasts Washington Post:…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest 7-day outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows that while Helene has dissipated, there are two new named storms in the Atlantic, Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce. Both of them are moving away from the US and will not affect us. There is also an area with a 70% chance of development…
Posted in: Tropical weather