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Tonight the National Hurricane Center officially declared Bret as a tropical storm. The forecast cone shows that Bret is expected to continue west and gradually strengthen to a hurricane until it gets into the Caribbean. At that point, wind shear is likely to weaken Bret back to a tropical storm. The computer models have a…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
A quick look at June 2023 so far shows that for most of the region, temperatures have been cooler than average. The only exception is the southern portions including most of Florida. Rainfall has been variable, with a persistent streak of wet conditions stretching NW to SE across Alabama and SW Georgia into Florida. This…
Posted in: Climate summaries -
The latest 7 day QPF map shows another wet week is ahead for nearly all of the region. While this weekend will be dry in the north, rain will return to the area for most days this week. The driest area will be Virginia, where drought has been expanding as most rain falls farther south…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Today the National Hurricane Center posted a 7-day outlook that shows a wave that recently came off of Africa has a 70 percent chance of developing in the next seven days. This is quite a bit earlier than usual, but since water temperatures are much warmer than usual there is plenty of energy for a…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
NOAA released their monthly and seasonal outlooks for temperature and precipitation today. The outlooks show that the temperature for both July and the July-September period is leaning towards warmer than normal conditions. This is most likely linked to the trend towards warmer temperatures we have seen over the last 50 years due to a warming…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest Drought Monitor, released earlier today, shows that the area of severe (D2) drought has been eliminated from Florida but elsewhere in the Southeast abnormally dry (D0) conditions have expanded. Florida and South Carolina are the only states that have not seen an increase in dry conditions. Moderate drought (D1) expanded in Virginia and…
Posted in: Drought -
The latest monthly global climate summary was released by NOAA earlier this week. It shows that for the earth as a whole, May was the third warmest in records that date back to 1880. There was also a record-low amount of sea ice for May in the Antarctic, a big change from a few years…