Climate outlooks
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As I write this on Saturday morning, a strong front is moving into the area from the northwest. It will bring most of the rain for this week, with cooler and drier air filtering into the region once the front passes. No rain is expected after the front moves through until late in the week.…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest ENSO discussion was released by NOAA today. It shows that La Nina is still expected to continue through the winter and that it is likely to transition to ENSO-neutral conditions sometime in the spring. You can read the discussion at https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_update. I will add that it is quite rare for La Nina to…
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After a long dry period with limited rain, it looks like rain will be returning to most of the region by mid-week. The weekend should be relatively dry again, but a shift in the pattern will bring a wet front across the area starting on Monday afternoon and progressing to the east over time. Areas…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA released their winter outlook in late November. It provides a detailed look at what to expect knowing that we are now in a La Nina that should last through the winter and into spring. You can see maps of the climate variations in each of the first- and second-year La Ninas over the last…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their updated outlook for December 2021 today. It shows an even higher probability of above normal temperature in December in the Southeast, based mainly on very warm conditions that are likely over the next week or two. Precipitation is expected to be below normal in the southern part of the…
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The end of fall is almost upon us and December is knocking at our door. Kirk Mellish of WSB in Atlanta posted his discussion of past Decembers and what the next one is likely to look like in his latest blog post. The updated December prediction from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center should come out tomorrow…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows no rain in most of the region this week and none at all until the last two days of the week as the next storm system approaches from the west. If you want to see the QPF maps for shorter time periods, you can visit https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml to see the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks