Climate outlooks
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The precipitation pattern this week looks a lot like last week’s, with the heaviest rain in the northern part of the region and little to none in the Florida Peninsula. Week 2 looks a lot like this week, so there are no big changes expected on the short term. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center does start…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The stratosphere over the North Pole is showing signs of a developing Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW), but there is no indication at this time of what impacts it might have, especially in the Southeast. Usually impacts from an SSW occur several weeks after the onset of its development in the stratosphere, but the strength and…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region should not get any rain this week as we are under high pressure and the focus of activity is to our north in the Ohio River Valley. Some areas in the Southern Appalachians and northern GA and AL may see a few showers but…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest ENSO discussion from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows a continuation of the trend we’ve seen in the last few months from La Nina conditions to neutral conditions. The latest outlook shows that La Nina is likely to end within the next month or two, swinging into neutral conditions for most of the spring…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region will receive quite a bit of rain this week. The first round will come this weekend, with a respite in the middle of the week before the next round begins. Some areas will see several inches of rain. The exception is the Florida peninsula,…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day precipitation map shows that after a fairly dry weekend for most of the region, the next system will bring relatively small amounts of rain to the region by mid-week as it moves through the Southeast. The exception is eastern Florida, which has been dry and very warm in the past couple of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA released their final outlook for February 2023 this week. It shows that for most of the Southeast they expect warmer and wetter conditions than usual to continue through February. The exception is along the coasts and in the Florida peninsula, where drier than normal conditions are likely to continue. I checked the long range…
Posted in: Climate outlooks