Climate outlooks

  • If you’re in the Southeast, your attention has probably been fixed on Hurricane (and now Tropical Depression) Nate moving through the region. But if you are traveling somewhere else this week like I am, you may have noticed that the first big winter storm of the year is set to hit Denver and the Rockies…

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  • Overnight Nate strengthened from a tropical storm to a hurricane, and this strengthening is likely to continue for the next few hours before it makes landfall overnight tonight. Then it is expected to accelerate to the northeast and should be to New England by Monday night.  The precipitation pattern for the US this week is…

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  • The latest outlooks for fall and winter show a pattern that is consistent with the expected La Niña event. In October the current wave pattern of a trough in the western US and a ridge of high pressure in the eastern US should continue to bring us above-normal temperatures and drier than normal conditions.  This…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast will be dry again this week with a strong high pressure center over us.  A front stalled across the Florida panhandle will bring rain to that area as well as along the coasts, and a tropical system may form along the front and increase…

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  • The NWS Southeast River Forecast Center has a new video out describing the latest water conditions for the Southeast and a look ahead to fall and winter, including an update on the hurricane season.  You can view it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mRsP0W_eXGk&feature=youtu.be.

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  • The Southeast Regional Climate Center has released their latest 3-month seasonal climate summary and outlook for June through August 2017.  It includes a look back at the major impacts of this summer’s weather and a look ahead to fall in just two pages. You can read it at https://www.drought.gov/drought/documents/quarterly-climate-impacts-and-outlook-southeast-region-september-2017.

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  • High and dry this week

    A large dome of high pressure covering the eastern US will keep most of the Southeast high and dry this week, great for harvest but worrisome for crops that need more moisture to fill out before they mature. The exceptions to the dry conditions are the eastern end of NC, which will feel some rain…

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