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NOAA: November 2018 ENSO update

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If you follow this blog, you know we’ve been expecting the onset of an El Niño sometime this fall. So far, it hasn’t quite happened. This article from NOAA gives an update on the current status of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and how likely the El Niño is. You can read it at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/november-2018-enso-update-just-little-bit-history-repeating.

You can also see the latest IRI ENSO forecast at https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/. It shows that the El Niño has a greater than 80% chance of occurring and is likely to be around until spring.

   

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