The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks for May 2025 and May-July 2025 were released by NOAA earlier this week. They show that while May will continue to show a little of the signal from the La Nina that recently went away, including warmer and drier conditions being slightly more likely in southern parts of the region, the May-July 2025 period will show a different pattern. The early summer pattern does show a continuation of warmer than normal temperatures due to the influence of rising temperatures caused by global warming, but rainfall is showing a slight tendency towards wetter than normal conditions. I attribute this to the prediction of a tropical season that is expected to be more active than average and the possibility that some of that activity may affect us in the Southeast.
