The latest tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 strengthening in the SW Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to continue to strengthen into TS Alberto before it makes landfall on Mexico. It won’t affect us in the Southeast but could bring a lot of rain to southern Texas. There are also areas of potential development in the SW Atlantic headed towards the Southeast and another center of potential development right where PTC1 is now located. The area in the SW Atlantic is not very well defined and only has a 20 percent chance of becoming a named storm. At most, it will bring high waves and rip currents to the coast and perhaps some rain in SE Georgia and along the east coast of Florida if it holds together. The area in the Bay of Campeche has a better chance of developing into another named storm and also has more chance of heading north towards the US but it is too far out to know anything about its future path. There is no substantial threat from any of these disturbances.
In more encouraging news, it looks like the strong high will move out enough to allow us to get some much-needed rain next week. That is sorely needed by farmers now!
