Tropical weather
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Measuring the impacts of a single extreme weather event can be difficult. Extension agents in Florida have an even tougher job since they are assessing delayed impacts from a frost last spring plus both Hurricanes Ian and Nicole, some of which ran over the same area. If an area was already impacted by one event…
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The North Carolina State Climate Office just released a summary of the impacts of Tropical Storm Nicole on North Carolina. It can be viewed at https://climate.ncsu.edu/blog/2022/11/rapid-reaction-late-season-nicole-offers-needed-rainfall/.
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Tonight Nicole became a hurricane as it crossed the warm water of the Gulf Stream. It is expected to stay as a hurricane as it makes landfall late tonight or early tomorrow and heads northwest over Florida. If you read this in the morning digest, it will probably already be well onshore. Then it will…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
During the day today, Nicole completed the transition to a Tropical Storm and as of 10 pm ET, is near hurricane force. It is not expected to strengthen much beyond that due to wind shear, even though it will be passing over the warm Gulf Stream soon. The general forecast path of the storm is…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
As of 5 AM this morning, the broad area of low pressure east of the Bahamas organized enough to become Subtropical Storm Nicole. Subtropical storms have some characteristics of tropical storms but also have some characteristics of mid-latitude low pressure areas. For our purposes, you can treat it as a tropical storm, and it should…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Even though the tropics have been quiet for the last few weeks, that looks like it may be about to change. An area of low pressure (currently called Investigation 98) east of the Bahamas is looking as though it may develop into a named storm (90% chance in the next 5 days) as it moves…
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While it might seem like the Atlantic tropical season is over, a look at the map shows that is not the case. Currently there are two tropical storms in the Atlantic–TS Lisa in the southern Caribbean moving generally west towards Central America, and TS Martin well off in the central Atlantic and moving NE. Both…
Posted in: Tropical weather