Climate outlooks

  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that somewhat wetter conditions are expected to return next week for most of the Southeast.  The exception is the Florida peninsula, which will see little rain in the next few days.  Rain amounts in much of the area will be around an inch, which is close to normal for…

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  • Another dry week

    The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the next week should be mostly dry across the Southeast.  What little rain does come will hold off until the second half of the week but is not expected to be much.  This means that next week’s Drought Monitor is likely to show an expansion of abnormally dry…

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  • NOAA released their latest seasonal outlooks this week.  You can find them all at https://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=13.  A sampling of them are shown below.  They indicate that El Niño impacts are still likely for the next few months.  In summer a band of above-normal precipitation is most likely related to the more active tropical season we are likely…

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  • We’re about halfway through the month so it’s time to get a preliminary look at the climate so far.  The maps from the High Plains Regional Climate Center show that temperatures have been running below normal for most of the Southeast except for Florida, with the coolest temperatures in North Carolina.  Rainfall has been plentiful…

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  • With the current weather pattern locked in place, high pressure will dominate most of our region for the next week.  This means little chance of precipitation falling, and most areas will get less than a quarter of an inch for the week.  Most of that is likely to fall late in the week as the…

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  • NOAA’s latest El Niño blog post indicates that not only are we still in a strong El Niño but that they have also issued a La Niña watch for the next few months.  I’ve been talking about the possibility of swinging from one extreme to the other in the past few months, and now it…

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  • The 7 day QPF map shows that the driest part of the Southeast in the coming week will be the peninsula of Florida, with the driest area farthest south.  Light to moderate amounts of rain are expected elsewhere except in Alabama as the next storm system approaches by the end of next week.

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