The latest El Nino discussion was released today. It shows that there is a strong likelihood that La Nina will continue through 2022, with a return to neutral conditions likely by spring. You can read more at their summary page. That means that even though the tropics are quiet now, we expect them to ramp up soon and the next few months could be interesting from a tropical standpoint. It also means an increased chance of warmer and drier than normal conditions in the Southeast, especially in the southern half.
