NOAA released their early April outlook for ENSO earlier this week. It shows that La Nina is barely hanging on and is expected to transition to neutral conditions over the next few months. What does this transition mean for the upcoming few months? While spring can be tough for predicting what will happen with ENSO later in the year, there are a few clues that you can use to figure out what to expect. You can read more at https://climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/april-2021-enso-update-spring-triathlon. You can also read more about the latest forecast from IRI at https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/. Note that El Nino has only a low chance of occurring, with some models predicting we will return to La Nina conditions later in the year.
