CSU released its third forecast for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, 6 July. In it,they increased the expected number of storms and now call for an above-average Atlantic basin hurricane season in 2023, although they noted that uncertainty with this outlook is larger than normal.
From their press release: While we continue to anticipate a robust El Niño for the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, most of the tropical and subtropical Atlantic now has record warm sea surface temperatures. El Niño increases vertical wind shear in the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic, but the extreme anomalous warmth in the tropical and subtropical Atlantic may counteract some of the typical El Niño-driven increase in vertical wind shear. The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be above the long-period average. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.
Read our forecast summary here
Lea nuestro resumen de pronóstico en español aquí
