The State Climate Office of North Carolina has posted their latest seasonal update on their blog. It contains some additional analysis that I did not put in my blog post yesterday that you might find helpful. Even though it is geared for North Carolina, a lot of the information is generally correct for the Southeast as a whole. You can read it at https://climate.ncsu.edu/blog/2022/11/winter-outlook-for-2022-23-la-nina-lives-on/.