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La Nina almost gone; neutral conditions expected soon

The latest ENSO advisory from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center this week show that while La Nina is barely holding on, it is expected to be gone in the next month, and neutral conditions have an 80 percent chance of occurring in the May through July period. While temperatures in the Eastern Pacific Ocean are still cooler than average, they are warming up and should pass the threshold into neutral conditions soon. Neutral conditions are favored to continue through the September through November 2021 period. You can view the latest briefing slides here. The neutral conditions are expected to contribute to another above-normal Atlantic tropical season this summer and fall.