The content on this page is retained only for recordkeeping, historical reference, or research. These materials are preserved in their original form and may not meet current WCAG 2.1 AA accessibility standards.

These archived materials are not required to be remediated. However, we remain committed to equitable access. If you need an accessible version of any archived item to participate in our current programs and services, we will provide one when feasible upon request at caesweb@uga.edu.

The latest ENSO forecast, released today, shows that La Nina is still expected to be officially declared soon but the likelihood has gone down a bit because it is taking so long to develop. When (or if) it does occur, it is likely to be a weak and short-lived one. The strongest impacts in a weak La Nina are likely to be in southern AL and GA and down into Florida with fewer impacts in more northern parts of the region. La Nina winters are typically warmer and drier than normal as the jet stream is shifted to the north towards the Ohio River Valley. You can read more at Time magazine at https://time.com/7094205/la-nina-winter-weather/. This is likely to be reflected in the seasonal outlook released in the next few days.