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If you want a good example in story form about how hurricane forecasts have improved over time, you may be interested in this article on Medium.com by my husband (also a meteorologist) Dr. John Knox, who experienced his first hurricane before he was born when his pregnant mom encountered Hurricane Cleo in Miami in 1964. His story is instructive because it shows how much hurricane forecasting and confidence has improved over time. You can read it at https://medium.com/@johnknox_uab88/a-tale-of-two-hurricane-forecasts-f8aeea151587.
Weather radar image of Hurricane Cleo over Miami, Florida, early on August 27, 1964
