NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their latest El Niño monitoring overview today. It shows that a weak El Niño is continuing to be present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, with temperatures that are slightly below the threshold for a moderate event. It is expected to continue through the summer (60 percent chance of still being present in July through September) and could continue for the rest of this year (50 percent chance for October through December). A continuing El Niño would be expected to lead to fewer Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes this year than average; however, it only takes one tracking near you to cause significant impacts. You can see the latest weekly slides at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
