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The precipitation pattern this week looks a lot like last week’s, with the heaviest rain in the northern part of the region and little to none in the Florida Peninsula. Week 2 looks a lot like this week, so there are no big changes expected on the short term. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center does start moving the wave pattern to the east in weeks 3-4. That could cause a shift towards cooler temperatures and more rain along the East Coast and perhaps even in Florida by mid-March. So far the longer-range models are not showing much sign of frost except in northern AL and GA and western SC, NC and VA at higher elevations through mid-March. But keep in mind that those forecasts could change, so keep an eye out because it is pretty early to be past our last frost for the spring.

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