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According to the latest 7-day QPF map (that stands for Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, in case you were wondering), this coming week should be mostly dry across the region with the exception of the Florida Peninsula and areas immediately along the coast. Since it is also expected to be much hotter than last week, we can expect water stress to increase as evapotranspiration grows. This is likely to be a problem for dryland crops, many of which are already struggling from earlier weather problems this growing season, and will delay the filling of peanuts and soybeans as well as pecans. I imagine a lot of water will be pumped for irrigation this week!

Flash drought is now becoming more likely in Alabama, where they have not received any beneficial rain from Debby, and will probably expand to the east into Georgia and the Florida Panhandle this week. Any rain that does fall is likely to be light and occur at the end of the week. No relief expected from the tropics either, as the waves coming off of Africa so far have failed to develop under colder ocean temperatures in the equatorial eastern Atlantic, persistent Saharan dust, and strong wind shear aloft farther west. The Climate Prediction Center still predicts a better than 60% chance of tropical cyclone development in the period from August 28 to September 3, so the pattern may be changing.