This week’s QPF map shows that heavy rain is likely to affect Florida and parts of the East Coast as Elsa moves through the region in the next few days. Elsa, which became a hurricane yesterday but was downgraded back to a tropical storm this morning, is currently forecast to move somewhere up the west coast of Florida and then recurve to the northeast along the East Coast of the US. But the computer models continue to show a spread in paths, so it may very well move in a direction somewhat different than the current forecast. The heaviest rain will be near and to the right of the storm’s path, wherever that ends up being, and also should start to occur well before the storm’s center gets close to your location. Unfortunately, it will miss the driest areas of North Carolina and Virginia for the most part, so not much relief from dry conditions there.
